Agriculture and Rural Affairs Committee
Comité de l’agriculture et des
affaires rurales
10 June 2011 / le 10 juin 2011
Submitted by/Soumis par : Nancy Schepers, Deputy City Manager/Directrice municipale adjointe,
Infrastructure Services and Community Sustainability/Services d'infrastructure
et Viabilité des collectivités
Contact
Person/Personne-ressource : Richard Kilstrom, Manager/Gestionnaire, Policy
Development and Urban Design/Élaboration de la politique et conception urbaine,
Planning and Growth Management/Urbanisme et Gestion de la croissance
(613) 580-2424 x22653, Richard.Kilstrom@ottawa.ca
SUBJECT:
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OBJET :
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ENQUÊTE SUR LES
TERRAINS RÉSIDENTIELS RURAUX, MISE À JOUR DE 2009-2010 |
That the Agriculture and Rural Affairs Committee receive this report for information.
Que le Comité de l'agriculture et des questions
rurales prenne connaissance du présent rapport.
The Rural Residential Land Survey monitors lot creation, recent housing development, and residential potential in villages and other areas of rural Ottawa. It is undertaken every two years.
The number of new housing lots created in the rural area during 2009-10 averaged 259 annually; 188 lots in 2009 and 330 in 2010. This was up slightly from 243 lots per year during 2007-08. The higher activity in 2010 was due to an increase in new subdivisions in both country lots and in villages.
There were 144 lots created in country lot subdivisions in 2009-10, representing 28% of all new lots in rural Ottawa. Although there was a significant increase in 2010 (103 lots) compared to 2009 (41 lots), the last two years were a significant decline from the 58% share accounted for by country lot subdivisions in 2007-08. However, due to Council's moratorium on country lot subdivisions, which started to be applied at the end of 2009, many of the surge of subdivision applications in 2009 had not reached registration by the end of 2010. Consequently, registrations in 2011 may show an increase.
Severances totalled 59 in 2009 and 87 in 2010, for an average 28% share of all rural lots created in the last two years. This is up from an 18% share in 2007-08, possibly as a result of the moratorium on country lot subdivisions. Severance activity has been relatively high since 2008 compared to the last decade.
New lots created in villages totalled 255 in 2009-10, representing 49% of the rural total. Most of these were in new subdivisions. This is up significantly from the 28% village lot share during 2007-08.
Housing
Construction:
Housing starts in the rural area totalled 366 units in 2009 and 475 units in 2010. This was down 20% from the average of 2007-08, likely due to the overall slowdown in the housing market.
Villages accounted for 46% new housing over the last two years, an increase from 42% during 2007-08. The Official Plan S. 2.2.1, Policy 8 calls for at least 50% of growth in the rural area to be in villages.
In 2009-10, 7.3% of total city-wide housing starts were located in the rural area, down from 8.1% in 2007-08. However, because household sizes are larger in the rural area than the urban area, in 2009-10 the rural area accommodated an estimated 11.6% of Ottawa's population growth.
Development
Potential:
Land identified as having potential for residential development included residential land in villages and a portion of land designated General Rural Area in the Official Plan. Potential in villages was based on Community Design Plans and zoning. To estimate residential potential on General Rural Area land, all constraint lands were removed and 50% of remaining land parcels larger than 1.6 hectares were assumed to have capacity for an average lot size of 0.8 hectares.
Using this methodology, overall housing potential in the rural area was estimated to be approximately 25590 units at the end of 2010. This estimate assumes the moratorium on new country lot subdivisions is not extended. At rates of building over the last five years (475 units per year), this supply could provide for about 54 years of development in rural Ottawa.
At the end of 2010, the overall supply of registered and draft approved lots was 2237 registered and 1178 draft approved. These lots represent about 7.2 years of supply at recent development rates.
Registered and draft approved lots in country lot subdivisions stood at 1859 at the end of 2010 (1257 and 602 lots respectively).
Estimated 2010 development potential by ward was, in order of size, Rideau-Goulbourn (9985 units), West Carleton-March (7493), Osgoode (5897), Cumberland (2074) and Barrhaven (141).
Villages with the largest estimated potential were Richmond (2589 units), Manotick (1851), Greely (1568), North Gower (1005) and Carp (705). These five villages accounted for 75% of residential potential in all villages.
Additional information is contained in the main report.
The report concludes that there is significant potential for additional residential development in the rural area.
This report deals with research and analysis matters and, as such, public consultation was not required.
There are no legal implications associated with this report.
There are no risk management implications associated with this report.
This report aligns with City Strategic Plan objectives for growth management and for the planning of Ottawa's rural villages.
Document 1 Rural Residential Land Survey, 2009-2010 Update (distributed separately to all members of the Agriculture and Rural Affairs Committee and held on file with the City Clerk).
Staff to continue monitoring rural development patterns and development potential for use in planning applications and policy development.