Projections of long-term change in population and associated housing and employment are fundamental to a community’s ability to plan for land use, housing needs, land requirements, transportation and infrastructure, financing, recreational and social needs, and other basic services.
The City of Ottawa’s long-term growth projections were last updated in 2007. Since then Ottawa’s actual population, housing, and employment have tracked well against these projections and have not required revision. However, after almost a decade it is appropriate that an update be undertaken. At the same time, the projections will be extended from the current 2031 horizon to 2036.
The purpose of this report is to:
- Explain the methodology and assumptions used in the projections;
- Present the results of the scenarios developed, including the recommended Reference Projection used to develop subsequent housing and employment projections;
- Analyse the demand for urban and rural housing by unit type and the associated urban land requirements up to 2036; and
- Compare the demand for urban housing land to the supply to assess whether there is a need to add urban land for 2036.