Population, Housing, and Employment Projections for Ottawa, 2018-2046
Projections of long-term change in population and associated housing and employment are fundamental to a community’s ability to plan for land use, housing needs, land requirements, transportation and infrastructure, financing, recreational and social needs, and other basic services.
The new Official Plan provides a strategy and policy framework to guide development and growth over a 28 year period from July 2018 to July 2046. New projections are required to estimate the growth that will occur over this period. The projections begin with population growth, being the driver for household growth and employment growth.
From 2018 to 2046, Ottawa is projected to increase by 402,000 persons for a population of almost 1,410,000 persons in 2046. The projected housing for this population is a growth of 194,800 private dwellings for a total of 599,200 private dwellings in 2046. Employment is projected to increase by almost 189,500 jobs for a total of 827,000 jobs in 2046.
| Year | Population |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 1,007,500 |
| 2019 | 1,030,200 |
| 2020 | 1,047,400 |
| 2021 | 1,064,100 |
| 2022 | 1,080,200 |
| 2023 | 1,095,500 |
| 2024 | 1,110,800 |
| 2025 | 1,126,300 |
| 2026 | 1,141,800 |
| 2027 | 1,157,400 |
| 2028 | 1,173,000 |
| 2029 | 1,188,500 |
| 2030 | 1,204,000 |
| 2031 | 1,219,200 |
| 2032 | 1,234,300 |
| 2033 | 1,249,100 |
| 2034 | 1,263,600 |
| 2035 | 1,277,800 |
| 2036 | 1,291,700 |
| 2037 | 1,305,100 |
| 2038 | 1,318,200 |
| 2039 | 1,330,900 |
| 2040 | 1,343,300 |
| 2041 | 1,355,300 |
| 2042 | 1,366,900 |
| 2043 | 1,378,100 |
| 2044 | 1,388,900 |
| 2045 | 1,399,400 |
| 2046 | 1,409,600 |
| Year | Total Dwellings | Total Employment |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 404,400 | 637,600 |
| 2021 | 429,800 | 662,400 |
| 2026 | 470,700 | 698,400 |
| 2031 | 509,100 | 731,500 |
| 2036 | 542,900 | 764,400 |
| 2041 | 572,800 | 796,600 |
| 2046 | 599,200 | 827,000 |
The methods and assumptions for these growth projections are detailed in: